Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hungary	Match 4
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	Elena Rybakina		Madison Keys

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.23	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.63
	1.29	3.42	Watch
	1.23	4.47	Watch
	1.23	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.29)	4.22 ↑ (3.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
77.4%

Madison Keys
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	0%	80.6%

Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). Keys will win (votes: 29 - 80.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 67.7% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Keys (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Keys (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Madison Keys will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Keys (votes: 31 - 88.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 6. Keys is ranked WTA: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3.

Rybakina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rybakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Elena Rybakina - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 72.61%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Finals
03.11.25	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Amanda Anisimova - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Tokyo
24.10.25	Linda Noskova - Elena Rybakina	Noskova L. walkover ✺
23.10.25	Victoria Mboko - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?WW
- Madison Keys
WTA Finals
03.11.25	Amanda Anisimova - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Madison Keys - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Aoi Ito - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
13.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	2:1
WTA Australian Open
19.01.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Miami
25.03.24	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Ostrava
03.10.22	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.22	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.22	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	2:1

Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide