Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Luka Pavlovic		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.33	3.04	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	3.11 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
70%

Eliakim Coulibaly
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Luka Pavlovic - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Coulibaly (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coulibaly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 211. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 293.

Pavlovic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coulibaly is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Pavlovic is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Luka Pavlovic - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Luka Pavlovic - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Luka Pavlovic - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWWL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Petros Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

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