Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Elias Ymer		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.46	1.57
	2.46	1.57
	2.36	1.54	Watch
	2.08	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.03)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
40.5%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Elias Ymer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Francisco Comesana - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Elias Ymer - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Elias Ymer - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

Elias Ymer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide