Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA 2 (PERU), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday


	Luciano Darderi		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.92	1.9
	1.93	1.91
	1.66	2.13	Watch
	1.78	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.14)	1.95 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
51.8%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
30.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2
11.10.22	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
09.11.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	2:1
ITF Tournaments
30.03.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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