Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 6 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.71	2.17
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
56%

Elias Ymer
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Meligeni (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 123. Ymer is ranked ATP: 263.

Meligeni is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ymer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Meligeni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Meligeni might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Meligeni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dan Martin	Canceled ✺
13.04.25	Luka Pavlovic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Alfredo Perez - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ??WWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Elias Ymer - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	1:2

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer