The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Christian Garin 36.7%
Learner Tien 63.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
55.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christian Garin's form might have worsened.
Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Learner Tien's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christian Garin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Learner Tien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40.5%
0%
59.5%
Christian Garin - Learner Tien Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Tien will win (votes: 25 - 59.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 44.7% – 74.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
Garin is ranked ATP: 104.Tien is ranked ATP: 20.
Recent performances by Garin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tien is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Garin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tien is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Tien will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.