Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Mattia Bellucci		Elias Ymer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.14	5.25
	1.13	5.50	Watch
	1.14	5.2	Watch
	1.13	5.70
	1.13	5.00	Watch
	1.13	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.11)	5.34 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
82.5%

Elias Ymer
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Ymer (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 91., and Ymer is ranked ATP: 192..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bellucci may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bellucci enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bellucci has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Mattia Bellucci	Bellucci M. win ✺
30.09.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LW?WW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Elias Ymer - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Elias Ymer - Terence Atmane	Atmane T. Retired ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.26	Elias Ymer - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Elias Ymer - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Elias Ymer - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:0
05.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	1:2

Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide