Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORLEANS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Elias Ymer		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.51
	2.38	1.53
	3.13	1.33	Watch
	2.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.65)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
36%

Jakub Mensik
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Elias Ymer - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mensik is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mensik will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mensik to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Elias Ymer - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Elias Ymer - Samuel Brosset	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
27.09.23	Dennis Novak - Jakub Mensik	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Dusan Lajovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.23	Jakub Mensik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
30.08.23	Titouan Droguet - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
28.08.23	Jakub Mensik - Gregoire Barrere	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?WLWW

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