Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia (Italy), clay

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Perugia (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elias Ymer		Federico Arnaboldi

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Elias Ymer
67.9%

Federico Arnaboldi
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ymer Elias - withdrawn.

Recent matches Ymer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaboldi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ymer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Elias Ymer - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.24	Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
17.05.24	Denis Yevseyev - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
16.05.24	Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
15.05.24	Lloyd Harris - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Moez Echargui - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Dmitry Popko - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLWW

Elias Ymer - Federico Arnaboldi