Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Jaime Faria		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.41	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.52	2.58
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.39)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
63.3%

Elias Ymer
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaime Faria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elias Ymer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Faria (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elias Ymer will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 25%). Ymer (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 119. Ymer is ranked ATP: 237.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faria might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Jaime Faria - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	Jaime Faria - Kyrian Jacquet	3:1 ✺
25.06.25	Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Harold Mayot - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Remy Bertola - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Elias Ymer - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Elias Ymer - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.05.24	Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer	2:1

Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide