Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Elias Ymer		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.66	2.29
	1.68	2.14	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
56.4%

Marko Topo
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elias Ymer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marko Topo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Elias Ymer - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Topo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 263. Topo is ranked ATP: 402.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Topo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Hamburg
17.05.25	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
09.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WL?LW
- Marko Topo
ATP Hamburg
17.05.25	Marko Topo - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.25	Andrej Nedic - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Oliver Crawford - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Marko Topo - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Marko Topo - Boris Butulija	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWW

Elias Ymer - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide