Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Christopher OConnell		Elias Ymer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95	Watch
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3.48
	1.32	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.26	Watch
	1.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	3.17 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
70.4%

Elias Ymer
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 81. Ymer is ranked ATP: 263.

Recent form of OConnell has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ymer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

OConnell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, OConnell is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, OConnell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Christopher OConnell - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
04.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
09.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
21.09.20	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	0:2
ATP Challenger
20.06.17	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	0:2

Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide