Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Elias Ymer		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.3
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.62	2.35
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.44)	2.32 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
59.6%

Lukas Neumayer
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Elias Ymer - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Neumayer will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ymer will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Elias Ymer - Federico Arnaboldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Elias Ymer - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.24	Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
17.05.24	Denis Yevseyev - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
13.06.24	Pedro Cachin - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Illya Marchenko - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Laslo Djere - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Lukas Neumayer - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Lukas Neumayer - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.22	Lukas Neumayer - Elias Ymer	0:2

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