Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Naples 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luciano Darderi		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.28	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)	3.27 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
71.4%

Sumit Nagal
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 61. Nagal is ranked ATP: 139.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nagal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
22.03.25	Adam Walton - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 W?LWL
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Sumit Nagal	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sumit Nagal - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Nagal S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WL?L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	✺

Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal