Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Vilius Gaubas		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.33	3.41
	1.34	3.18	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	3.15 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
70.3%

Eliot Spizzirri
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Vilius Gaubas - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Spizzirri (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vilius Gaubas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Spizzirri (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 125.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spizzirri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Christian Garin - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Jakub Paul - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
26.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

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