Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Eliot Spizzirri		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.15	Watch
	1.33	3.59
	1.19	4.79	Watch
	1.35	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)	3.59 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliot Spizzirri
73.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eliot Spizzirri's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliot Spizzirri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eliot Spizzirri - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Spizzirri (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eliot Spizzirri will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eliot Spizzirri will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Spizzirri (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 111. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 89.

Spizzirri is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martinez Portero has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spizzirri could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Linang Xiao - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marko Topo	Martinez P. retired ✺
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL

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