Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Eliot Spizzirri		Yibing Wu

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.18	Watch
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.18)	2.19 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliot Spizzirri
56.5%

Yibing Wu
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eliot Spizzirri's performance.

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yibing Wu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliot Spizzirri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yibing Wu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	0%	14.7%

Eliot Spizzirri - Yibing Wu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Spizzirri (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 38.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eliot Spizzirri will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eliot Spizzirri will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Spizzirri (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Wu (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 85. Wu is ranked ATP: 168.

Now, both players are in good form.

Wu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.45%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Joao Fonseca - Eliot Spizzirri	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Yibing Wu
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Luca Nardi - Yibing Wu	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Yibing Wu - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Yibing Wu - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
07.01.26	Andrey Rublev - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Eliot Spizzirri - Yibing Wu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide