Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
	2.3	1.62
	2.35	1.57
	2.41	1.55
	2.31	1.57
	2.5	1.53
	2.3	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (3)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
39.8%

Eliot Spizzirri
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eliot Spizzirri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+2%)

Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 49. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 67.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spizzirri could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.82%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Adam Walton - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
08.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	James Duckworth - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Jannik Sinner	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Yibing Wu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
11.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2

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