Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Joao Fonseca		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.33)	2.51 ↓ (3.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
62%

Eliot Spizzirri
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Fonseca's form might have worsened.

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eliot Spizzirri's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Joao Fonseca - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Spizzirri will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 4 - 50%). Spizzirri (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 24. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 89.

Spizzirri is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spizzirri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fonseca might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fonseca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LLWW
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Christian Garin - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
22.08.24	Joao Fonseca - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2

Joao Fonseca - Eliot Spizzirri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide