Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.5	1.21	Watch
	4.83	1.22
	4.31	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.39	1.22	Watch
	4.5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto
21.5%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elisabaetta Cocciaretto's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elisabaetta Cocciaretto than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elisabaetta Cocciaretto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cocciaretto will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Cocciaretto (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cocciaretto (votes: 1 - 50%). Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cocciaretto is ranked WTA: 89. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 20.

Cocciaretto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alexandrova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alexandrova is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elisabaetta Cocciaretto
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Taylor Townsend - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
WTA Rabat
19.05.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Elina Avanesyan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWL
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?LWW

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