Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Lucia Bronzetti		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.25
	3.95	1.26
	4.04	1.27
	3.77	1.27	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.81	1.27	Watch
	3.95	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.2)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
24.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Bronzetti's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lucia Bronzetti - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bronzetti will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bronzetti (votes: 1 - 50%). Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 54. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 20.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alexandrova is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Rabat
19.05.25	Zeynep Sonmez - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Karolina Muchova	Canceled ✺
08.05.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Siegemund	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 L?LWL
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Roma
09.05.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Emma Raducanu	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
20.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?LWWL

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