Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Elise Mertens		Alexandra Eala

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.35	3.05
	1.4	3.27
	1.37	3.12	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	3.15 ↑ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
69.7%

Alexandra Eala
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alexandra Eala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elise Mertens - Alexandra Eala Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Eala is ranked WTA: 44.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Eala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mertens is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Elise Mertens - Ella Seidel	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Elise Mertens - Iva Jovic	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler	Kessler M. Retired ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Sorana Cirstea - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LW??L
- Alexandra Eala
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.26	Alexandra Eala - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
08.04.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Julia Grabher - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.26	Karolina Muchova - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monastir
17.10.23	Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens	0:2

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