Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Elise Mertens		Karolina Pliskova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.38	3.1
	1.41	3.21
	1.38	3.03	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.42	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	3.12 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
69.2%

Karolina Pliskova
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Pliskova will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Pliskova is ranked WTA: 197.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Pliskova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mertens is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Elise Mertens - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Elise Mertens - Ella Seidel	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Elise Mertens - Iva Jovic	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler	Kessler M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLW??
- Karolina Pliskova
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Sinja Kraus	2:1 ✺
WTA Linz
10.04.26	Donna Vekic - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Eastbourne
26.06.23	Karolina Pliskova - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.22	Karolina Pliskova - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Roma
19.09.20	Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova	1:2
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.19	Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova	0:2
WTA Doha
13.02.19	Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova	Canceled

Upcoming Matches