Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Elise Mertens		Kimberly Birrell

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.37	3	Watch
	1.35	3.42
	1.34	3.19	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.38	3.08	Watch
	1.32	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	3.26 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
70.8%

Kimberly Birrell
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Kimberly Birrell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Elise Mertens - Kimberly Birrell Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Birrell will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 28. Birrell is ranked WTA: 76.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mertens is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Elise Mertens - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.02%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Elise Mertens - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLW?
- Kimberly Birrell
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.25	Viktorija Golubic - Kimberly Birrell	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Kimberly Birrell - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Kimberly Birrell - Kristina Penickova	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
26.02.25	Kimberly Birrell - Ena Shibahara	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Yue Yuan - Kimberly Birrell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Osaka
16.10.24	Elise Mertens - Kimberly Birrell	Mertens E. retired

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