Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Elise Mertens		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	1.97	1.84	Watch
	2.12	1.7
	1.99	1.8
	2.1	1.73
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)	1.73 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
45.2%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elise Mertens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fernandez will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 32. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 27.

Mertens is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fernandez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Elise Mertens - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. retired ✺
WTA Singapore
02.02.25	Ann Li - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Xin Yu Wang - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LW?WW
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Amanda Anisimova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Greetje Minnen - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
06.02.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ashlyn Krueger	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guadalajara
19.09.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Australian Open
08.02.21	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elise Mertens	0:2

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