Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Elise Mertens		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.54
	1.52	2.55
	1.57	2.58
	1.43	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.53	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)	2.57 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
63%

Ludmilla Samsonova
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Samsonova will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 35.

Mertens has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samsonova's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mertens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Elise Mertens - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.41%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Tatjana Maria - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
11.05.26	Elise Mertens - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA London
08.06.26	Harriet Dart - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jil Belen Teichmann	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
18.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Toronto
09.08.24	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2
WTA Washington
01.08.22	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2

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