Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Elise Mertens		Mirra Andreeva

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34
	3.6	1.35
	3.26	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.22	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.62)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
29%

Mirra Andreeva
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elise Mertens's form might have worsened.

Mirra Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirra Andreeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Elise Mertens - Mirra Andreeva Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirra Andreeva will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 7.

Recent performances by Mertens have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Andreeva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Andreeva is considered a favorite.

We predict that Andreeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Panna Udvardy - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Elise Mertens - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Mirra Andreeva
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Viktorija Golubic - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Antonia Ruzic - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
02.05.26	Mirra Andreeva - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

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