Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday


	Elise Mertens		Rebecca Marino

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	3.15
	1.37	3.1
	1.39	3.22
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.04	Watch
	1.38	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	3.1 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
69.2%

Rebecca Marino
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rebecca Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Elise Mertens - Rebecca Marino Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mertens is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Bogota
04.04.23	Elise Mertens - Mirjam Bjorklund	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
27.03.23	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Petra Martic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
21.03.23	Elise Mertens - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Rebecca Marino
WTA Madrid
25.04.23	Lin Zhu - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
15.04.23	Rebecca Marino - Yanina Wickmayer	Canceled ✺
14.04.23	Rebecca Marino - Ysaline Bonaventure	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.23	Rebecca Marino - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Yulia Putintseva - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?LLW

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