Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Petra Martic		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.6	1.49
	2.6	1.5
	2.63	1.55
	2.6	1.5
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.42	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.8)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Martic
37.3%

Elise Mertens
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Martic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Martic than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petra Martic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elise Mertens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	0%	47.8%

Petra Martic - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Martic will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Mertens will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martic: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mertens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Martic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Martic
WTA Miami
23.03.23	Petra Martic - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.23	Petra Martic - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
20.02.23	Petra Martic - Yulia Putintseva	1:2 ✺
WTA Linz
12.02.23	Petra Martic - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Maria Sakkari - Petra Martic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Miami
23.03.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
21.03.23	Elise Mertens - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.23	Xin Yu Wang - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
04.03.23	Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
03.03.23	Elise Mertens - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA St Petersburg
09.02.22	Petra Martic - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Beijing
30.09.19	Elise Mertens - Petra Martic	2:0
WTA Australian Open
21.01.18	Petra Martic - Elise Mertens	0:2

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