Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 June 2024, Thursday


	Elmer Moeller		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.76
	2.09	1.77
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.64)	1.74 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
46.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
26.06.24	Tristan Lamasine - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.06.24	Elmer Moeller - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Toby Martin	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Eric Vanshelboim	Vanshelboim E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWW?
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
26.06.24	Gabriel Debru - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	David Goffin - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide