Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Elmer Moller		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.71	2.27
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.69	2.15
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
56%

Marko Topo
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elmer Moller - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 190. Topo is ranked ATP: 348.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Topo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moller might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Elmer Moller - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Marko Topo - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Bastad
12.07.26	Elmer Moller - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Elmer Moller - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Elmer Moller - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Elmer Moller - Felix Balshaw	Moller E. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Elmer Moller - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLW?W
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Marko Topo - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Marko Topo - Leonardo Rossi	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Alexander Donski - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
14.07.26	Marko Topo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

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