Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Lukas Neumayer		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.30
	1.25	3.80	Watch
	1.32	3.63
	1.31	3.35	Watch
	1.29	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.30	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	3.44 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
72.7%

Marko Topo
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marko Topo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lukas Neumayer - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Topo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 167. Topo is ranked ATP: 350.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neumayer is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Umag
11.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Lukas Neumayer - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Marko Topo
ATP Umag
11.07.26	Marko Topo - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Marko Topo - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LWLW

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