Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Marko Topo		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	3.10	1.37	Watch
	3.22	1.40
	3	1.37	Watch
	3.10	1.38	Watch
	3.06	1.38	Watch
	3.00	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
31%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Marko Topo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 374. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 58.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Topo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ugo Carabelli is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Umag
12.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Marko Topo - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Marko Topo - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 W?LWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Ugo Carabelli C. Retired ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Emilio Nava - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?L?LW

Marko Topo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide