Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona, clay - Final

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marin Cilic		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)	2.31 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
59.7%

Elmer Moller
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marin Cilic's performance.

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elmer Moller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Moller will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 143. Moller is ranked ATP: 156.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Cilic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
29.03.25	Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Marin Cilic - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWL
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
29.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Elmer Moller - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Federico Coria - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL

Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller Predictions

Preview

Form

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