Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Elmer Moller		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.3	Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.3	3.38	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	3.38 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
72.4%

Max Alcala Gurri
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Alcala Gurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Elmer Moller - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 139. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 447.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Moller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moller is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Elmer Moller - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Federico Coria - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Marko Topo - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Michiel De Krom - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW

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