Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Tiago Pereira		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2.19	1.69
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.44)	1.66 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
43.9%

Hugo Grenier
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Pereira's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tiago Pereira - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Grenier will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 339., and Grenier is ranked ATP: 284..

Pereira has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Grenier is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pereira could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Grenier is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Grenier in today's match, at odds of 1.61.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.91%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavlo Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
22.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?LWW

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