Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Elsa Jacquemot		Claire Liu

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.57
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elsa Jacquemot
40.1%

Claire Liu
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elsa Jacquemot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Elsa Jacquemot - Claire Liu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 165., and Liu is ranked WTA: 97..

In recent outings, Jacquemot has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Liu is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Jacquemot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Liu holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Liu in today's match, at odds of 1.56.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jacquemot has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Elsa Jacquemot - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Claire Liu - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.84%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Beijing
30.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Vivian Wolff	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Zongyu Li	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
14.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Claire Liu
WTA Sao Paulo
16.09.26	Mary Stoiana - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Claire Liu - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.05.22	Elsa Jacquemot - Claire Liu	0:2

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