Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: CALI (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday


	Elvina Kalieva		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.14	1.7
	2.14	1.71
	2	1.73
	2.12	1.71	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
44.7%

Nuria Brancaccio
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvina Kalieva's form might have worsened.

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Elvina Kalieva - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kalieva will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brancaccio: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kalieva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brancaccio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brancaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
31.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.23	Marie Benoit - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Marie Benoit - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Emiliana Arango - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Quinn Gleason - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.01.23	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Martina Capurro Taborda - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Emily Seibold - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

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