Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gwangju 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Emil Ruusuvuori		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.99	1.79	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emil Ruusuvuori
48.8%

Ilia Simakin
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emil Ruusuvuori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Emil Ruusuvuori - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ruusuvuori will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Simakin will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ilia Simakin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruusuvuori is ranked ATP: 228. Simakin is ranked ATP: 271.

Recent matches Ruusuvuori is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simakin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Simakin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Hyeon Chung	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Daniel De Jonge	Ruusuvuori E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Oleg Prihodko - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 L?LWW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Viktor Durasovic - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Terence Atmane - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW

Emil Ruusuvuori - Ilia Simakin

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Emil Ruusuvuori - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Preview

Form

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