Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Gerard Campana Lee		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.04	1.37
	3.27	1.31	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.14)	1.35 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerard Campana Lee
30.9%

Ilia Simakin
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerard Campana Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gerard Campana Lee's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gerard Campana Lee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Gerard Campana Lee - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Campana Lee will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Simakin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Campana Lee is ranked ATP: 404. Simakin is ranked ATP: 295.

Recent matches Campana Lee is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simakin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Campana Lee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Simakin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gerard Campana Lee - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerard Campana Lee
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Gerard Campana Lee	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Arthur Gea - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Daniel Masur - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Terence Atmane - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Gerard Campana Lee - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide