Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Ilia Simakin		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.23	1.68
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
42.3%

Zachary Svajda
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ilia Simakin - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 295. Svajda is ranked ATP: 201.

Simakin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Svajda is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Simakin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Zachary Svajda - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Zachary Svajda - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Zachary Svajda - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Andres Martin - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Dominik Koepfer - Zachary Svajda	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLL?

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