Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Terence Atmane		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.85	2.02
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.82	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)	1.91 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terence Atmane
51.1%

Ilia Simakin
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terence Atmane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Terence Atmane's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Terence Atmane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Terence Atmane - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atmane will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Simakin will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Atmane is ranked ATP: 177. Simakin is ranked ATP: 295.

Recent matches Atmane is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simakin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Simakin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atmane will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terence Atmane
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Terence Atmane - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Terence Atmane - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Terence Atmane - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Terence Atmane - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Luca Nardi - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Terence Atmane - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide