Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Emilien Demanet		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.06	1.7
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilien Demanet
46%

Luca Castagnola
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilien Demanet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilien Demanet than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

Demanet is ranked ATP: 641. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 654.

Two players are playing changeable.

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Emilien Demanet - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilien Demanet
ITF Tournaments
22.04.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Emilien Demanet	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Martin Krumich - Emilien Demanet	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Emilien Demanet - Stijn Slump	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Emilien Demanet	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Simeon Stankovic - Emilien Demanet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Luca Castagnola - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Luca Castagnola - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Luca Castagnola - Tadeas Paroulek	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Abel Forger - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW

Emilien Demanet - Luca Castagnola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide