Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 14, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 14 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Buvaysar Gadamauri		Luca Castagnola

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Buvaysar Gadamauri
45.6%

Luca Castagnola
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buvaysar Gadamauri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buvaysar Gadamauri than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Gadamauri is ranked ATP: 715. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 661.

Recent matches Gadamauri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castagnola is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gadamauri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Castagnola to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buvaysar Gadamauri
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Thomas Deschamps - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Thomas Deschamps - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Buvaysar Gadamauri	Gadamauri B. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLW?
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Luca Castagnola - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Luca Castagnola - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Luca Castagnola - Tadeas Paroulek	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Abel Forger - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW

Buvaysar Gadamauri - Luca Castagnola