Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 13, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Luca Castagnola		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.98	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.89	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	1.36 (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
31.8%

Moez Echargui
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+1%)

Luca Castagnola - Moez Echargui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 661. Echargui is ranked ATP: 477.

Castagnola in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Echargui is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Echargui is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castagnola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Luca Castagnola - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Luca Castagnola - Tadeas Paroulek	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Abel Forger - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Fabien Salle - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Moez Echargui
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Massimo Giunta - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Allan Gatoto - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Pedro Araujo - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Moez Echargui - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.07.22	Moez Echargui - Luca Castagnola	2:1

Luca Castagnola - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide