Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Franke A. (Ger)


	Emilio Nava		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.26	1.6	Watch
	2.21	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.05)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
41.6%

Alexandre Muller
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emilio Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Emilio Nava - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Emilio Nava will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Emilio Nava - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Jesper De Jong - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Constant Lestienne - Emilio Nava	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.24	Ugo Blanchet - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWW?L
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Jaume Munar - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexandre Muller	Muller A. retired ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.01.23	Emilio Nava - Alexandre Muller	0:2

Emilio Nava - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide