Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)


	Emilio Nava		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	3	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.39
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
30.7%

Lorenzo Sonego
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Emilio Nava aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Lorenzo Sonego aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Emilio Nava - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sonego is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Jesper De Jong - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Constant Lestienne - Emilio Nava	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.24	Ugo Blanchet - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Mathys Erhard - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Emilio Nava - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Emilio Nava - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide