Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Lodde R. (Ita)


	Jesper De Jong		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.41
	1.6	2.41
	1.57	2.25
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	2.34 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
59.9%

Emilio Nava
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emilio Nava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emilio Nava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jesper De Jong - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nava will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

De Jong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Jong will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Petr Nouza	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Jesper De Jong	Fatic N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLW?
- Emilio Nava
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Constant Lestienne - Emilio Nava	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.24	Ugo Blanchet - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Mathys Erhard - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Emilio Nava - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?LWLW

Jesper De Jong - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide