Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARRAKECH (MOROCCO), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francesco Passaro		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.63	1.49
	2.45	1.48
	2.74	1.51
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.68	1.47	Watch
	2.48	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.86)	1.5 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
36.9%

Alexandre Muller
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Francesco Passaro - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Muller will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Passaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Marrakech
03.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Francesco Passaro - Tung-Lin Wu	Passaro F. retired ✺
06.03.23	Francesco Passaro - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Alexandar Lazarov - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?WLL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Alexandre Muller - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Alexandre Muller - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.04.22	Alexandre Muller - Francesco Passaro	0:2

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