Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Emilio Nava		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.15	1.63
	2.4	1.62
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
42.7%

Henrique Rocha
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Emilio Nava - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 194. Rocha is ranked ATP: 168.

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Emilio Nava - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Giovanni Fonio - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Emilio Nava - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.24	Rigele Te - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Emilio Nava - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Casper Ruud - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WW?WL

Emilio Nava - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide